Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.419735 0.477947 0.540085 0.611211 0.690233 0.775188 0.873284
2025-11-09 0.321716 0.400488 0.490941 0.601909 0.733751 0.884738 1.070044
2025-11-16 0.253591 0.343490 0.454011 0.598467 0.780719 1.001327 1.286666
2025-11-23 0.200385 0.294441 0.417833 0.588931 0.816983 1.107109 1.500174
2025-11-30 0.166560 0.264028 0.399775 0.598327 0.876185 1.245361 1.765878
2025-12-07 0.135385 0.231275 0.372836 0.590745 0.910005 1.351622 1.997448
2025-12-14 0.113752 0.208492 0.356140 0.594298 0.957947 1.479300 2.266609
2025-12-21 0.093757 0.184379 0.333382 0.584910 0.984508 1.577169 2.499516
2025-12-28 0.083357 0.174398 0.331230 0.606507 1.058755 1.748822 2.849905
2026-01-04 0.074319 0.165079 0.328552 0.626251 1.130895 1.921382 3.211898
2026-01-11 0.064399 0.152141 0.317528 0.630089 1.176707 2.055391 3.522385
2026-01-18 0.055666 0.139812 0.305666 0.630594 1.216098 2.180745 3.825672
2026-01-25 0.047958 0.128259 0.293871 0.630234 1.254590 2.308427 4.142892
2026-02-01 0.041353 0.117764 0.282580 0.629332 1.291702 2.435924 4.467236
2026-02-08 0.035973 0.108957 0.273386 0.631212 1.333601 2.573736 4.816146
2026-02-15 0.030729 0.099269 0.260789 0.624628 1.358761 2.683642 5.123573
2026-02-22 0.027535 0.094175 0.257533 0.636681 1.420001 2.860277 5.554200
2026-03-01 0.023609 0.086097 0.246146 0.630035 1.443849 2.970724 5.874723
2026-03-08 0.020856 0.080713 0.240298 0.634644 1.490174 3.124457 6.279074
2026-03-15 0.017793 0.073545 0.228861 0.625240 1.506793 3.223412 6.589394
2026-03-22 0.016559 0.071953 0.231464 0.648449 1.592996 3.458393 7.158324
2026-03-29 0.015344 0.070121 0.233146 0.669577 1.676165 3.691685 7.734335
2026-04-05 0.013634 0.066055 0.228094 0.673782 1.722878 3.856304 8.189328